GOP said to drop tax cuts for big earners in revised health bill

(Bloomberg) --Senate Republican leaders dropped provisions that would repeal two taxes on high earners in a revised draft of their health-care bill sent to the Congressional Budget Office, according to two people familiar with the decision.

GOP leaders are considering retaining Obamacare’s 3.8 percent tax on net investment income for people who earn more than $200,000 and couples with incomes over $250,000, as well as a 0.9 percent Medicare surtax on the same incomes.

Those two tax increases generate nearly $231 billion in revenue over a decade, according to the Joint Committee on Taxation. Leaving them in place could create a way to cover the costs of expanded Medicaid coverage for the poor or other programs demanded by holdout moderate Republicans.

The decision to explore changes aimed at winning over moderate holdouts comes amid an announcement Tuesday by Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell that he is delaying a planned summer recess by two weeks, giving Republicans more time to pass a health-care bill.

McConnell told reporters that he plans to release his revised bill on Thursday, with a new CBO estimate and an important procedural vote coming next week.

But Republican Lindsey Graham of South Carolina said Tuesday that he plans to release contours of an alternative health bill this week and that he is seeking the support of governors and senators of both parties.

“I want to do the best I can, and I think the best we can is not on the table right now,” Graham said.

DI-CapitolBuilding_07112017
The U.S. Capitol building stands past a runner pausing at the Washington Monument in Washington, D.C., U.S., on Tuesday, July 11, 2017. As Congress returned from its mid-summer break yesterday for a crucial three-week stretch, several obstacles await lawmakers, including an ongoing health-care fight, divisions among Republicans on the basic parameters of a tax bill, and a maelstrom of upcoming deadlines to keep the government running and avert a catastrophic default on U.S. debt. Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg

A number of moderate Republicans had recoiled from the bill after the CBO estimated that 22 million fewer people would have insurance in a decade, and that premiums and deductibles for millions of low-income people would soar.

Closed-Door Talks

McConnell has been negotiating with his Republican colleagues over revisions after more than a half-dozen of them objected to a plan last month that combines tax cuts with deep reductions in health spending.

Other changes under consideration include revising Medicaid cuts and adding more spending to stabilize premium costs in the individual insurance market, according to a GOP aide who requested anonymity.

Republican leaders have said they want to hold a vote before the recess, which has now been pushed into mid-August, and are prepared to move on to other issues, including a tax-code rewrite, if they can’t develop consensus around a proposed replacement to the 2010 Affordable Care Act.

If there were an imminent vote in the Senate, House Republican leadership would keep their chamber in session into the beginning of August, according to a GOP aide familiar with the plans. However, if the Senate works into the beginning of August and manages to pass a health-care bill, there would be intense pressure from the Trump administration to bring House members back to Washington for another vote, according to the aide.

For the bill to pass, and Republicans to live up to their promise to eliminate President Barack Obama’s signature domestic accomplishment, they can lose no more than two GOP votes from their 52-48 majority amid unanimous Democratic opposition.

Skeptical Republicans

A number of Republicans have been pessimistic about the prospects in recent days.

Republican Senator Susan Collins of Maine, who opposes McConnell’s earlier bill, said in an interview Monday that she was heartened at the majority leader’s suggestion last week that Republicans will have to work with Democrats on a scaled-back measure shoring up Obamacare’s insurance exchanges if the GOP bill dies. She said she’s concerned about the impact of proposed cuts to Medicaid under the broader plan.

"I believe we should not repeat the mistake that President Obama made in passing major legislation with no support from the other party," Collins said.

‘50-50’ odds

Senator Bill Cassidy of Louisiana said on “Fox News Sunday” that McConnell’s original plan is dead and that what happens with the rewritten version remains to be seen. He put the odds of passing a bill in July at “50-50.”

While moderates are balking at deep cuts to Medicaid and to subsidies for individual market consumers, conservatives are seeking looser regulations for such policies that are sold on Obamacare’s exchanges.

Republican leaders are considering a provision proposed by Senator Ted Cruz, a Texas Republican, that a group of conservative GOP senators say could help gain their support. Cruz wants to allow insurers to offer cheap, bare-bones plans alongside those that meet the more comprehensive coverage requirements of Obamacare.

Critics in both parties say the proposal would essentially put people with pre-existing conditions in the Obamacare insurance pool and allow young, healthy people to buy cheaper plans in a separate pool. It also hasn’t been determined that such a provision can be considered under filibuster-busting procedures Republicans are using in the debate.

Bloomberg News
AHCA Health insurance Tax Financial regulations Tax regulations Donald Trump CBO
MORE FROM DIGITAL INSURANCE