If you are interested in a very good (but not necessarily easy) read, try Nassim Taleb’s "The Black Swan." The book takes you on a journey crossing history, perceptions and logic. The idea behind "The Black Swan" is that events that have low or no predictability do regularly occur and can have very large, game-changing impacts.
One of his examples is 9/11; few of us would ever have thought such an attack possible. But after the fact, connect-the-dot analysis shows that it was visible in hindsight. Couple that notion of improbable yet highly impactful events with the idea that we are wired so that dealing with the unlikely is just something people don’t do well. We like order and predictability. “Like” may not be strong enough; we almost require predictability. We want the world to fit our view.
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