The top emerging risks, meaning those with a horizon of 10 years or more, include: financial volatility (62 percent); regional instability (42 percent); cyber security/interconnectedness of infrastructure (40 percent); failed and failing states (33 percent); and Chinese economic hard landing (31 percent), according to the sixth “Emerging Risks Survey,” conducted in October 2012, by the Joint Risk Management Section, a collaboration between the Casualty Actuarial Society, Canadian Institute of Actuaries and Society of Actuaries.
The top emerging risks in the prior study, conducted in October of 2011, included: financial volatility (68 percent); failed and failing states (42 percent); cyber security/interconnectedness of infrastructure (38 percent); Chinese economic hard landing (32 percent); oil price shock (32 percent); and regional instability (32 percent).
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