The effort by commercial lines underwriters to hold the line on premiums gave way under the pressure of a highly overcapitalized market in the first quarter of 2011, according to the
Property insurance posted the largest decrease, falling 4.2% on average for policies renewing during the quarter. The average workers’ compensation premium fell 3.2% and the average D&O premium dropped 2.3%. General liability was the only line tracked by the survey to not record a material decrease, declining only 0.8%.
“Risk managers tell us that insurers are more willing to walk away from underpriced business, and the numbers from the past couple of quarters seemed to show resolve to not let premiums fall further,” says Dave Bradford, Advisen executive vice president. “But capacity, as measured by policyholders’ surplus, is at an all-time high in the U.S. property & casualty market. That puts a lot of pressure on premiums, and we saw them slip a bit in the quarter.”
RIMS also points to catastrophes around the world in the first quarter of 2011, including the Queensland floods in Australia, the Christchurch earthquake in New Zealand and the Tohoku earthquake and tsunami in Japan, as resulting in billions of dollars of losses to global insurers and reinsurers. Thus far, notes the report, the looses have not had an impact on premiums in the U.S. Additional catastrophes, however, could exceed the tipping point, sparking higher premiums for property and, possibly, other lines of insurance, according to RIMS.
“The earthquakes in New Zealand and Japan are reminders as to how vulnerable the U.S. is to devastating catastrophes,” says Frederick Savage, FCII, ARM, RIMS Board of Directors. “A big earthquake or hurricane could cause premiums across the board to change dramatically. It is still relatively early on in the year with the Gulf of Mexico hurricane season still to come but barring a large catastrophe, 2011 looks to be another year of competitive pricing. There certainly is no shortage of capacity in most lines.”
