The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) still is predicting that this hurricane season will be another above-normal or possibly very active one, despite having reduced hurricane season estimates after a relatively calm July.

“Our confidence for an above-normal season is still high because the predicted atmospheric and oceanic conditions that are favorable for storm development have materialized,” said Gerry Bell, Ph.D., lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service. “Also, two of the four named storms to-date formed in the deep tropical Atlantic, which historically is an indicator of an active season.”

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